Today · Jun 16, 2026
Xenia's F&B Revenue Jumped 13.4% in 2025. Here's the Number That Actually Matters.

Xenia's F&B Revenue Jumped 13.4% in 2025. Here's the Number That Actually Matters.

Xenia is projecting $3M to $5M in incremental EBITDA from a single F&B reconcepting at one property. That per-outlet math should make every upper-upscale owner rethink what their restaurants are actually worth... or what they're leaving on the table.

Xenia Hotels & Resorts grew F&B revenue 13.4% across 30 properties in 2025, with banquet and catering up 17.2%. The headline reads like a win. The real number is underneath it.

Total RevPAR grew 8%. Same-property RevPAR guidance for 2026 is 1.5% to 4.5%, midpoint 3%. Total RevPAR guidance is 2.75% to 5.75%, midpoint 4.25%. That 125-basis-point spread between RevPAR and Total RevPAR tells you exactly where Xenia thinks the growth is coming from. Not rooms. F&B and ancillary. The company is betting that non-room revenue grows faster than room revenue in 2026. For a public REIT to make that bet explicit in guidance, the internal data has to be convincing.

The number that deserves decomposition: $3M to $5M in projected incremental hotel EBITDA from the reconcepted F&B outlets at a single property (their Nashville asset, in partnership with a celebrity chef group). That's one hotel. One F&B overhaul. At the midpoint, $4M in EBITDA against a company-wide adjusted EBITDAre projection of roughly $260M means a single restaurant reconcepting at one of 30 properties could represent 1.5% of total portfolio EBITDA. I audited a management company once that spent two years chasing 1.5% of portfolio EBITDA through rate optimization across every property. Xenia is projecting the same impact from one kitchen.

The risk is real and Xenia acknowledges it. Renovation disruption carries an estimated $1M negative impact on adjusted EBITDAre and FFO in 2026. CapEx drops from $86.6M in 2025 to a guided $70M-$80M range. Group pace is up 10%, which supports the banquet thesis, but group pace in March doesn't guarantee group actualization in Q3. The 2026 guidance also implies adjusted FFO per share of $1.89 at midpoint, roughly 7% growth. That's not a blowout. That's a company threading a needle between capital investment, renovation disruption, and the assumption that corporate groups keep spending on evening events at resort properties. If corporate travel budgets tighten (and there are reasons to think they might), the banquet-heavy F&B model is the first line item that contracts.

The structural question for the industry: Xenia shifted its portfolio from 26% luxury exposure in 2018 to 37% in 2025. That repositioning is what makes the F&B math work. You can't generate 17.2% banquet revenue growth at a select-service. The strategy is portfolio-specific, not replicable at every chain scale. But the principle is universal... non-room revenue as a percentage of total revenue is the metric that separates REITs with pricing power from REITs running on a treadmill. Xenia's 125-basis-point spread between RevPAR and Total RevPAR guidance is the clearest public signal I've seen that a lodging REIT is pricing F&B as a growth engine rather than an amenity cost center.

Operator's Take

Here's what to do with this. If you're running an upper-upscale or luxury property with F&B outlets, pull your banquet and catering revenue as a percentage of total F&B for the last 12 months. Then compare it to 2019. Xenia's 17.2% banquet growth tells you the corporate group wallet is open right now... but it's open for properties that invested in the product. If your banquet kitchen hasn't been touched since 2017, you're watching that revenue walk to the property down the road that did the renovation. This is what I call the Flow-Through Truth Test... that 13.4% F&B revenue growth only matters if it's flowing to the bottom line, and F&B has a nasty habit of eating its own gains through labor and COGS. Don't just chase the top line. Track your F&B flow-through monthly. If revenue is up 13% and F&B profit is up 4%, you're working harder for less. That's not momentum. That's a treadmill.

— Mike Storm, Founder & Editor
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Source: Google News: Hotel REIT
RLJ Beat Earnings by 14% While RevPAR Declined. Here's What Actually Happened.

RLJ Beat Earnings by 14% While RevPAR Declined. Here's What Actually Happened.

RLJ Lodging Trust posted $0.32 AFFO against a $0.28 consensus while comparable RevPAR dropped 1.5%. The spread between those two numbers is the real story, and it tells you more about where lodging REIT value creation is heading than the headline does.

$0.32 versus $0.28 consensus AFFO, on a quarter where comparable RevPAR fell 1.5% to $136.79. That's a 14.3% earnings beat on a negative top-line comp. Let's decompose this.

The RevPAR decline breaks down to 0.9% occupancy erosion (68.7%) and flat-to-soft ADR ($199.20). Government shutdown killed D.C. and Southern California demand... RLJ reported a 20% drop in government business. That's a known headwind. What's more interesting is where the beat came from: non-room revenue grew 7.2%, and the recently renovated properties (which represent real capital deployed, not financial engineering) are ramping. Revenue hit $328.6 million against $317.8 million expected. The $10.8 million variance didn't come from rooms. It came from everything around rooms.

Capital allocation is where this gets instructive. RLJ sold two hotels in Q4 for $49.5 million at a 16.3x EBITDA multiple. They repurchased 3.3 million shares at roughly $8.67 per share throughout 2025 while the stock trades at 0.9x price-to-sales. They refinanced all near-term maturities through 2028 and ended the year with over $1 billion in liquidity. The math here: sell assets at 16x EBITDA, buy back your own equity at a discount to NAV, lock in debt at known rates. That's textbook capital recycling, and the execution was clean.

2026 guidance is 0.5% to 3% RevPAR growth with full-year AFFO of $1.21 to $1.41. The midpoint ($1.31) implies the company expects the government headwind to fade while urban recovery continues (San Francisco RevPAR grew 52% in Q4... that's not a typo). The range is wide enough to accommodate a recession scenario at the bottom and event-driven demand (FIFA World Cup, America's 250th) at the top. I've modeled enough REIT guidance ranges to know that a 250-basis-point spread between low and high usually means management genuinely doesn't know. Which is honest. I prefer honest to precise-but-wrong.

The owner's return question matters here. RLJ returned $120 million to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and buybacks. Net EPS was negative $0.04 (beating negative $0.06 estimates, but still negative on a GAAP basis). The gap between AFFO and GAAP net income is depreciation and non-cash charges... standard for lodging REITs, but worth noting for anyone who stops reading at the wrong line. AFFO is the operating story. GAAP is the capital structure story. Both are real. One just gets the press release.

Operator's Take

Here's what I'd pay attention to if I'm running a hotel in a government-dependent market: RLJ just showed you that non-room revenue and renovation ROI can offset a 20% drop in a major demand segment. If you're not tracking your non-room revenue per occupied room as a separate line item... start this week. And if you've been sitting on a capital request waiting for "the right time," look at what the renovated properties did for RLJ's quarter. The right time was six months ago.

— Mike Storm, Founder & Editor
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Source: Google News: RLJ Lodging Trust
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